POLITICS (National): 2016 presidential election, polling, criticism?: Commentary (Opinion L.A. -- Jon Healey), "Trump-Clinton polls tell a story, but not the one that counts" .... 

* Los Angeles Times (Opinion L.A. -- Jon Healey):  "Trump-Clinton polls tell a story, but not the one that counts" - From the LAT:

To read some coverage of the presidential race, the election is already in the late Chick Hearn’s refrigerator, with the lights out, the butter getting hard and the Jell-O jiggling.

I’m as attuned to the polling trends as the next political junkie. But having watched how the contest between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton has gyrated since July, and knowing how fragile some of the support for each candidate is, I’m wide open to the possibility of a game-changing late October or even an early November surprise.

Full disclosure — The Times’ editorial board has been unstinting in its criticism of Trump, and I completely agree. He’s not fit to be president. But whether he wins isn’t my call. It’s yours (assuming you’re a voter). And Trump is right when he argues that media reports about Clinton’s lead in the polls could discourage some of his supporters from casting ballots.

Here’s an example from Politico, in a piece by Nolan McCaskill about a Trump rally in Florida on Tuesday (with emphasis added by me): ..................


POLITICS (National): 2016 presidential election, U.S. economy?: Report/analysis (Jim Tankersley), "Why the good economy could be a problem for the next president" ....

* Washington Post (Jim Tankersley):  "Why the good economy could be a problem for the next president" - From the WP:

The U.S. economy is delivering some of the best employment and income gains of the past 40 years, boosting workers in a way that recalls the boom years of the 1980s and 1990s. But while the gains may help Hillary Clinton rebuff Donald Trump’s frequent attacks on the state of the nation and the Obama administration’s record, she would face a series of minefields if she wins the White House. As would Trump, if he pulls off a victory.

Economists say there is a one in five chance of recession next year. The Federal Reserve is on a march toward raising interest rates. And threats continue to flow from abroad, including the United Kingdom’s exit from the European Union and other signs of turbulence in the global economy. A recession — or even a decline in economic momentum — could rapidly expose the new president to criticism and change the ability of the new administration to accomplish its goals.


This is one way that the robust economy at the end of President Obama’s tenure could affect not just the outcome of the campaign but what the next four years look like for whoever occupies the White House.

If wage and employment gains persist for the next four years, many of the concerns about worker stagnation that have dominated the national discussion could ease. If not, it could complicate the next president’s agenda as he or she faces questions about why they are presiding over a weak economy .................


POLITICS/ENVIRONMENT (State, Local/Bay Area): Cap-and-trade program, local grant funds?: "Why Bay Area's poorest, most polluted cities stand to lose grants" ....

* San Francisco Chronicle:  "Why Bay Area's poorest, most polluted cities stand to lose grants" - From the Chronicle:

SACRAMENTO — Some of the Bay Area’s poorest neighborhoods stand to lose out on state grants from a pot of money that has brought more than $100 million to the region’s disadvantaged, polluted communities in recent years. The money comes from California’s cap-and-trade program, which limits the greenhouse gases businesses can emit and requires heavy polluters to buy carbon credits at state auctions to offset excess emissions.

The program requires the state to distribute a quarter of the auction revenue to pollution-heavy low-income cities, which use the grants to improve public health and the environment, in part by funding affordable housing near public transit, planting trees and encouraging car-sharing programs. But proposed changes to a formula the state uses to determine which areas qualify for grants have dropped parts of many Bay Area cities, including Richmond, Pittsburg, Antioch, San Jose, Rodeo and Oakland. The changes favor disadvantaged communities in the San Joaquin Valley and Los Angeles basin.

“Many of our low-income communities that face environmental issues are being overlooked and frankly bypassed by this new funding formula,” said Assemblyman Phil Ting, D-San Francisco. “We have huge affordable housing needs including in communities that face environmental damage, like Richmond. And those communities aren’t included.”

Ting was among 17 state lawmakers from the Bay Area who sent a letter Friday to the state Office of Environmental Health Hazard Assessment, which could approve a new formula by year’s end. Lawmakers argued that the proposal leaves out too many high-need communities, like ...................


POLITICS (National): 2016 presidential election, post-election battles?: "Donald Trump Allies Focus Anger on Another Target: G.O.P. Leaders" ....

* New York Times:  "Donald Trump Allies Focus Anger on Another Target: G.O.P. Leaders" - From the NYT:

Faced with the demoralizing prospect of a third consecutive loss in a presidential race, conservative Republicans are girding for an extended clash on two fronts in the months ahead: one with a Hillary Clinton administration that could look like a reprise of the partisan battles of the 1990s, and another with Republican leaders on Capitol Hill who rejected Donald J. Trump.

Though a victory by Mrs. Clinton is far from a foregone conclusion, what does seem clear is that the frustrations and anxieties that fueled Mr. Trump’s rise will not be fleeting. And a defeat of Mr. Trump — which he has already darkly alluded to as part of a plot to disenfranchise his supporters — could further inflame those on the right whose goal all along has been to disrupt the country’s political system. Some of the loudest voices on the right seem poised to channel that anger into one of their favorite and most frequent pursuits: eating their own.

Some in the deeply factionalized Republican Party, including Mr. Trump and some of his senior aides, are already fanning the flames for a revolt against the House speaker, Representative Paul D. Ryan of Wisconsin, once Congress reconvenes after the election. Mr. Trump, who has lashed out at the speaker for being critical of him, has privately said that Mr. Ryan should pay a price for his disloyalty . . . . . . . .

Mr. Trump made his frustrations plain on Tuesday. “The people are very angry with the leadership of this party, because this is an election that we will win, 100 percent, if we had support from the top,” he said in an interview with Reuters. (He hastened to add: “I think we’re going to win it anyway.”)

Mr. Trump’s role in a postelection Republican Party is far from clear ...................


POLITICS (National, State): 2016 elections, Latino voters?: "Latinos in California have one big reason to go to the polls: Donald Trump" ....  

* Los Angeles Times:  "Latinos in California have one big reason to go to the polls: Donald Trump" - From the LAT:

Galvanized to vote in the presidential race by Donald Trump’s anti-immigration rhetoric, Latinos in California are expected to turn out in large numbers in November and have considerable influence on down-ballot races and statewide propositions.

At nearly 39% of the population, Latinos are the largest ethnic group in the state. At the polls, however, they are typically underrepresented compared with other minority groups. But Latino voters turned out in record numbers during the 2016 primary, a good sign for general election turnout, said Mindy Romero, who runs the California Civic Engagement Project at UC Davis. “I think we are going to see good turnout or high turnout even,” Romero said. "I think the question is just how much higher."

California’s June primary saw a larger share of Latino voters — 20% of the ballots cast — than any primary since 2004, according to a study by the Civic Engagement Project. “We’re hoping to see that again in the general [election],” said Samuel Molina, California director for Mi Familia Vota, a nonpartisan organization that educates and registers Latino voters. "We know that the presidential race and a lot of the rhetoric is drawing the community out."

The UC Davis study found turnout among registered Latinos .................